Carl Hampton - Questions The Motives

Nationally Syndicated Financial Columnist.

 

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A Recession Roller Coaster - We're In For Another Ride
by Carl Hampton 06/30/2010 

Recession, economy, financial planning, these are all ideas we are tired of hearing about. Well, my friend, get over it, the National Bureau of Economic Research is starting to talk about another round of financial mishaps that are set to come our way.  This is called a ‘double dip’ recession.  In specific terms it means a time when the GDP or Gross Domestic Product slides back to negative after a short-lived time of positive growth.

Basically we are all aboard the financial roller coaster with no stopping in site.  We have survived the plummet of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac nose-diving out of control.  We have lived through the twist in the ride that was Unemployment rising to 7.9. We toughed out the corkscrew that was the housing collapse and we have dealt with the out of control spin that was major American companies begging for a bailout.  And now, when this wild ride looks over and the light at the end of the tunnel is within reach we are being told to strap in for another go round.

There are a few signs that are pointing towards the fact that the recession isn’t over yet.  One of the big ones pertains to the housing market, last week- despite signs of recent progress- the numbers were awful, in fact there is a stiff and steep drop in new home sales. The housing market is big industry and to watch that fall again can have catastrophic results on the face of our current economic makeup.

Another big killer to our recent good fortune is the fact that employment is still down. It is hard for people to circulate money when they don’t have any coming in.  In fact, our Vice President, Joe Biden, is quoted with saying that “there is no possibility to restore [the] 8 million jobs already lost in the “Great Recession”.   Wow that makes me feel better.

Another issue that may keep us in the red is a governmental view that it is not time to spend.  Many people criticize governments for overspending in a time of crisis, but many if not most economists believe that spending is just what needs to be done to get that money circulating and to get the employment rate up.

Though it is easy to pass judgment on our government for spending our tax dollars, the argument for spending now and saving when the economy is yet again robust is a good one. So long as we spend wisely on projects that generate real long term jobs.

This way jobs can be created and the economy can have the chance to build.  Right now a focus on global spending is starting to have people believe that it is the time to spend.  Lets look at how this has benefited us in the past, in 1937 the country was just starting to emerge from the Great Depression when there was a sudden focus put on austerity (raising taxes to pay off governmental debts), this is widely believed to lead to 4 years of halted growth and a longer recession. If we can’t listen to our experts, can we listen to our history books instead of making the same mistakes all over again?

"Your" Money Matters, by Carl Hampton 
From the Author of "From Credit Despair To Credit Millionaire.
 





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